(자료)무디스 한국신용등급 관련 발표문

[edaily] Moody"s Investors Service announced that it is reviewing for possible upgrade Korea"s Baa2 long-term foreign currency country ceiling for bonds and notes, the Baa3 country ceiling for foreign currency bank deposits, the Prime-3 short-term ceiling for foreign currency obligations, and the Baa1 local currency rating for government obligations. The rating agency noted that Korea’s foreign currency ratings have had a positive outlook. The rating agency said the review will focus on assessing the country’s ability to maintain flexible policies and advance reforms in a context of domestic political pressures associated with upcoming national assembly and presidential elections. Moody’s will also examine external risks associated with the global economic outlook and potential exchange rate volatility in the region. In addition, the rating agency will evaluate the fiscal and public debt outlook, including contingent liabilities of the government imbedded in the financial and corporate sectors. As a result of this action, the ratings of the following entities were placed on review for possible upgrade reflecting either their quasi-sovereign status or the sovereign constraint on their ratings: Korea Development Bank: Baa2 debt rating, Baa3 long-term and Prime-3 short term deposit ratings; Korea Deposit Insurance Corporation: Baa2 debt rating; Export-Import Bank of Korea: Baa2 debt; Industrial Bank of Korea: Baa2 senior and Baa3 subordinate debt ratings, Baa3 long-term and Prime-3 short term deposit ratings; Seoul Metropolitan Government: Baa2 debt rating; Daegu Metropolitan City Government: Baa2 debt rating; Kookmin Bank: Baa3 long-term and Prime-3 short-term deposit ratings. (다음은 재경부 설명자료) ㅇMoody"s사 Tom Byrne국장은 `02/2/6 11:30(한국시각) 우리 국가신용등급 상향조정을 위한 절차(Credit Watch)에 들어갔다고 발표 "Moody" will place Korea"s rating under review for possible upgrade." ㅇ Tom Byrne 국장은 상기 "under review for possible upgrade"는 통상 최장 3개월 이내에 신용등급이 상향조정될 가능성이 크다는 것을 의미한다고 부연 설명. 이에따라, Moody"사의 우리나라 국가신용등급이 Baa2에서 Baa1으로 상향조정될 가능성이 높아짐 ㅇ우리 국가신용등급에 가장 보수적이었던 Moody"s가 상향조정을 단행할 경우, 나머지 S&P와 Fitch에도 상당한 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상됨 ㅇ한편, Moody"s사는 향후 국가신용등급 평가시 검토대상으로 다음과 같은 사항을 제시 -대선 등에 따른 정치일정과 관련하여 한국정부가 신축적인 거시정책을 유지하고 구조개혁을 지속적으로 추진할지 여부 -엔화약세 등 역내 환율변동성과 세계경제 회복속도 등 대외적 위험요소(external risk) -재정 및 국가채무(우발채무 포함)에 대한 전망